CFB MATCH LAB · OPPONENT-ADJUSTED DATA

2026 College Football Offensive Strength Rankings

2026 season · current through completed games in Week 4. Offensive Strength is built game by game from performance versus expectation: 45% PPA, 20% success rate, 15% explosiveness, 10% points per drive and 10% scoring. Each game is compared with a pregame expectation based on the team's prior production and the opposing unit's prior allowance, then adjusted for opponent-unit strength.

AP Rank is shown only as a reference point and never enters the formula. Opponent adjustment is asymmetric: strong opponents increase credit for outperformance and soften poor results, while weak opponents do the reverse.

Team Strength Rankings
Overall rating combines Offensive and Defensive Strength 50/50.Strength of Schedule Rankings
See overall opponent difficulty already faced.

Rank	Team	AP Rank	Offensive Strength	Performance vs Expectation	Avg Defense Faced	Avg Opponent Adjustment	Team Rank	Team Strength	Games
1	BYU	#9	100	63.21	46.0	0.984	11	92	3
2	Arizona	—	99	61.36	48.33	0.993	51	62	3
3	South Florida	—	99	62.1	47.67	0.991	23	85	3
4	Iowa	#17	98	61.29	45.33	0.925	2	99	3
5	Mississippi State	#24	97	61.03	64.33	1.057	4	98	3
6	Utah	#15	96	60.82	42.67	0.971	13	92	3
7	West Virginia	—	96	60.82	48.67	0.995	10	94	3
8	Pittsburgh	—	95	60.75	53.5	0.948	3	99	4
9	Purdue	—	94	60.65	59.67	1.039	66	51	3
10	Notre Dame	#3	93	59.6	53.67	1.079	1	100	3
11	Oregon State	—	93	59.87	47.0	0.988	12	92	3
12	Miami	#6	92	59.45	35.0	0.967	7	96	3
13	Maryland	—	91	59.36	17.33	0.869	21	85	3
14	Florida	#21	90	59.29	53.0	1.012	37	73	3
15	Penn State	#13	90	59.32	37.67	0.959	5	97	3
16	Oregon	#20	89	59.04	32.33	0.977	6	96	3
17	USC	#12	88	58.96	48.25	0.993	57	58	4
18	Air Force	—	87	58.84	55.5	1.022	38	72	2
19	Nebraska	—	87	58.68	34.0	1.029	35	75	3
20	Texas Tech	#11	86	58.61	50.75	1.063	18	87	4
21	Kentucky	—	85	58.48	59.33	1.0	19	85	3
22	Illinois	—	84	58.35	62.25	0.975	67	50	4
23	Ohio State	#7	84	58.31	49.5	1.006	24	83	4
24	Auburn	—	83	58.23	66.33	1.065	9	94	3
25	Miami (OH)	—	82	58.06	32.0	0.979	17	88	3
26	Houston	#25	81	57.42	28.0	0.995	43	68	3
27	Vanderbilt	—	81	57.39	59.67	0.956	8	95	3
28	Georgia State	—	80	57.32	66.33	0.959	59	57	3
29	NC State	—	79	57.23	51.0	0.903	68	50	3
30	Florida State	—	78	57.2	66.33	1.065	83	39	3
31	Georgia Tech	—	78	56.95	51.0	1.004	48	64	3
32	Oklahoma State	—	77	56.87	39.0	0.956	16	89	3
33	Temple	—	76	56.84	43.75	0.917	44	68	4
34	Cincinnati	—	75	56.79	48.33	0.913	61	55	3
35	Toledo	—	75	56.8	48.0	0.992	65	53	4
36	Texas State	—	74	56.58	39.67	0.959	73	47	3
37	Northwestern	—	73	56.57	50.33	1.001	22	85	3
38	Georgia	#2	72	56.38	10.67	0.941	53	61	3
39	Wisconsin	—	72	56.52	27.67	0.911	31	78	3
40	UCLA	—	71	56.35	40.0	0.971	52	62	3
41	Iowa State	—	70	56.28	40.0	0.96	28	79	3
42	Colorado State	—	69	56.09	37.75	0.951	91	33	4
43	Louisville	#16	69	55.75	49.25	0.927	29	79	4
44	Tulane	—	68	55.73	60.33	1.041	77	43	3
45	Michigan	#18	67	55.56	57.0	1.028	14	90	3
46	Alabama	#8	66	55.39	31.33	0.968	46	66	3
47	North Dakota State	—	66	55.51	39.75	0.959	26	81	4
48	SMU	#22	65	55.16	35.0	0.967	58	57	3
49	Liberty	—	64	55.14	29.75	0.989	56	59	4
50	Clemson	—	63	54.93	74.25	1.097	15	90	4
51	Kansas State	—	63	54.88	25.33	0.928	63	54	3
52	Boise State	—	62	54.72	33.33	0.933	74	45	3
53	TCU	—	61	54.65	24.67	0.899	27	81	3
54	Rutgers	—	60	54.62	37.25	1.001	90	34	4
55	Virginia	—	60	54.62	38.67	0.952	62	55	3
56	South Alabama	—	59	54.51	31.33	1.019	102	24	3
57	Washington	—	58	54.34	37.67	0.956	42	69	3
58	James Madison	—	57	54.19	40.67	0.944	36	74	3
59	Virginia Tech	—	57	54.17	53.25	0.991	85	37	4
60	Missouri	#19	56	54.01	52.33	0.897	30	78	3
61	LSU	#10	55	53.63	46.67	1.08	20	85	3
62	Duke	—	54	53.46	27.33	0.909	39	72	3
63	Wake Forest	—	54	53.47	64.75	0.997	32	77	4
64	North Texas	—	53	53.14	37.33	1.053	100	27	3
65	Missouri State	—	52	52.88	31.0	0.924	88	35	3
66	Massachusetts	—	51	52.82	26.67	1.0	25	82	3
67	Ohio	—	51	52.83	30.33	0.921	101	25	3
68	Tennessee	#14	50	52.77	60.25	0.941	49	64	4
69	Jacksonville State	—	49	52.45	23.5	0.98	79	41	4
70	Marshall	—	49	52.4	47.33	0.989	93	31	3
71	Old Dominion	—	48	52.18	54.0	1.117	33	76	3
72	Fresno State	—	47	52.18	49.0	1.039	40	71	3
73	Michigan State	—	46	52.12	67.33	0.941	64	53	3
74	Minnesota	—	46	51.95	53.0	0.895	41	71	3
75	Kansas	—	45	51.84	46.67	0.963	34	75	3
76	Coastal Carolina	—	44	51.44	45.5	0.984	98	27	4
77	Army	—	43	51.34	41.33	0.941	116	14	3
78	Tulsa	—	43	51.4	30.67	0.984	54	60	3
79	South Carolina	—	42	51.24	53.67	0.985	72	47	3
80	Washington State	—	41	51.21	49.67	0.908	81	41	3
81	Delaware	—	40	51.09	33.33	0.907	86	37	3
82	Western Michigan	—	40	51.15	22.0	1.019	95	30	3
83	North Carolina	—	39	50.79	45.0	0.927	110	18	3
84	Oklahoma	—	38	50.76	67.67	0.929	45	67	3
85	Baylor	—	37	50.62	41.0	0.976	60	56	4
86	UCF	—	37	50.55	40.67	1.013	55	60	3
87	Memphis	—	36	50.52	34.25	1.063	114	16	4
88	Central Michigan	—	35	50.46	40.33	0.961	87	36	3
89	Arizona State	—	34	50.14	59.33	0.869	76	44	3
90	UTEP	—	34	50.32	53.67	0.892	113	16	3
91	Florida Atlantic	—	33	50.08	43.0	0.969	71	48	3
92	Indiana	#5	32	50.06	39.5	0.972	69	49	4
93	New Mexico State	—	31	50.03	30.0	0.987	107	21	3
94	Texas A&M	#23	31	49.9	56.33	1.06	89	35	3
95	East Carolina	—	30	49.86	70.33	1.023	47	66	3
96	Louisiana Tech	—	29	49.76	60.33	0.865	97	28	3
97	California	—	28	49.64	61.5	0.97	82	39	4
98	Louisiana	—	28	49.41	34.0	1.032	75	45	3
99	Sam Houston	—	27	49.37	47.0	1.01	108	20	4
100	Troy	—	26	49.33	49.67	0.908	80	41	3
101	Texas	#1	25	49.08	56.0	0.976	50	64	4
102	Wyoming	—	25	49.26	40.67	0.963	119	12	3
103	Colorado	—	24	49.01	44.0	0.954	78	43	4
104	New Mexico	—	23	48.78	41.67	0.94	70	49	3
105	Ball State	—	22	48.73	34.75	0.977	125	7	4
106	Stanford	—	22	48.65	58.33	0.967	128	5	3
107	Arkansas	—	21	48.59	37.67	1.057	84	38	3
108	Kennesaw State	—	20	48.26	39.67	0.948	112	17	3
109	Hawai'i	—	19	47.15	44.33	0.977	104	23	3
110	Northern Illinois	—	19	47.26	35.33	0.941	126	7	3
111	San José State	—	18	47.06	44.25	0.953	105	23	4
112	Kent State	—	17	47.01	37.75	0.881	99	27	4
113	Rice	—	16	46.74	46.33	0.943	123	9	3
114	UNLV	—	16	46.96	40.25	1.053	111	18	4
115	Middle Tennessee	—	15	46.62	18.33	1.033	106	21	3
116	Arkansas State	—	14	46.57	41.33	0.941	121	10	3
117	Florida International	—	13	46.02	49.0	1.039	92	32	3
118	San Diego State	—	13	46.41	44.25	1.031	94	31	4
119	Buffalo	—	12	46.01	51.67	1.041	130	3	3
120	Western Kentucky	—	11	45.7	72.67	0.984	118	13	3
121	Navy	—	10	45.61	23.67	1.012	127	6	3
122	Utah State	—	10	45.57	48.0	1.091	109	20	3
123	App State	—	9	44.55	10.0	1.067	120	11	3
124	Georgia Southern	—	8	44.47	21.33	1.021	132	2	3
125	Nevada	—	7	43.98	26.67	1.093	115	15	3
126	Syracuse	—	7	43.91	39.33	0.949	117	13	3
127	UL Monroe	—	6	43.61	24.33	1.009	124	9	3
128	UAB	—	5	43.59	22.25	1.037	103	24	4
129	Bowling Green	—	4	43.37	45.67	1.017	135	1	3
130	Sacramento State	—	4	43.36	40.25	0.969	131	3	4
131	Eastern Michigan	—	3	43.24	43.0	1.028	133	1	4
132	Boston College	—	2	43.24	24.5	1.102	96	29	4
133	Akron	—	1	42.97	28.75	1.015	129	4	4
134	Charlotte	—	1	43.13	14.0	1.051	122	10	3
135	Southern Miss	—	1	43.08	28.0	0.995	134	1	3

Last generated: 2026-09-26T19:51:52.795937+00:00